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Chart of the Day / This Could Open the Floodgates for Mergers

This Could Open the Floodgates for Mergers

June 20, 2018

Just recently, a federal judge ruled in favor of AT&T, allowing it to absorb Time Warner in a deal valued at $85 billion.  The Department of Justice’s loss of its landmark challenge of that mega-merger has set the stage for a raft of likely deals.

You may remember that the Justice Department filed suit in November 2017 to stop the deal, arguing that the combination would harm competition and raise consumer prices.  But the judge didn’t buy the argument, signing off on the deal.

In fact, in his ruling, the Judge noted, “I conclude that the government has failed to meet its burden to establish that the proposed transaction is likely to lessen competition substantially.”

“I think for business, in general, it’s going to be seen as a green light for mergers,”said Ed Black, president of the Computer and Communications Industry Association, a trade group in Washington that represents companies such as Amazon.com, Facebook and Google. “I think you’ll see a lot of people using it as an opportunity to push mergers they may have been thinking about.”

“The ruling could open the floodgates to deal making in the fast-changing worlds of entertainment production and distribution. Major cable, satellite and phone companies are bulking up with purchases of entertainment conglomerates to compete against rivals such as Amazon and Google,” reports the Tampa Bay Times.

Another big deal is waiting in the wings for 21st Century Fox.  Disney already made a $52.4 billion all-stock offer for most of 21st Century, but Comcast just noted it’s prepping an all-cash offer that is far superior to Disney’s.

Verizon will probably be on the hunt for other entertainment properties, as it seeks to challenge heavyweights like Google and Facebook.  There’s even speculation that Discover and film studio, Lions Gate, could be attractive takeover targets and CBS could merge with Viacom.

“Mega deals like this one are rainmakers for big banks. First, they make tidy fees arranging corporate marriages. Then they haul in even more money on the loans to pay for the transaction — as well as subsequent bond sales,” reports CNN.  “It could embolden non-media mergers, too. That’s because the court decision removed uncertainty over the viability of so-called vertical mergers, in which the two companies don’t compete directly.”

In short, thanks to a federal judge, the floodgates have been opened for big mergers and acquisitions, which could fuel higher market highs.

Even billionaire York Capital Management founder, Jamie Dinan agrees, expecting a big wave of mergers now that the AT&T deal is going through as planned.